Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Gomel win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk in this match.
