SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for Vasteras SK had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Vasteras SK win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hacken | Draw | Vasteras SK |
50.07% ( 0.07) | 21.18% ( 0.04) | 28.75% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 68.66% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.93% ( -0.28) | 30.06% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.73% ( -0.34) | 51.27% ( 0.34) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.41% ( -0.08) | 12.59% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.32% ( -0.16) | 38.68% ( 0.16) |
| Vasteras SK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.55% ( -0.2) | 21.44% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.54% ( -0.32) | 54.46% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hacken | Draw | Vasteras SK |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.51% Total : 50.07% | 1-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.55% Total : 21.18% | 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.58% Total : 28.75% |
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