SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | Hacken |
30.89% ( 0.19) | 23.99% ( -0.01) | 45.12% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 59.64% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.53% ( 0.13) | 42.47% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.12% ( 0.12) | 64.87% ( -0.13) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% ( 0.19) | 26.33% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.53% ( 0.25) | 61.47% ( -0.25) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% ( -0.03) | 19.03% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.39% ( -0.05) | 50.61% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | Hacken |
| 2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 30.89% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 45.12% |
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