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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 14
Jul 14, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Iver Arena (Vasteras)

Vasteras
2 - 1
Norrkoping

Saidi (52'), Magnusson (90')
Magnusson (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hammershoj-Mistrati (55')
Neffati (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vasteras 1-2 Hacken
Monday, July 8 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Norrkoping 1-3 Djurgarden
Monday, July 8 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Vasteras SK 1-1 IFK Norrkoping

Vasteras have actually only conceded 16 times in the league this season, which is a very strong defensive record considering their position in the table, so we are not expecting many goals this weekend. A victory for either would be huge, and cases can be made for both to win it, but we believe that a tight match between the two strugglers will end with the points being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasteras SK win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasteras SK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vasteras SK in this match.

Result
Vasteras SKDrawIFK Norrkoping
47.64% (0.14 0.14) 23.63% (-0.012 -0.01) 28.73% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 59.53% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.97% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)42.03% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.57% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)64.43% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Vasteras SK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.16% (0.046999999999997 0.05)17.84% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4% (0.076999999999998 0.08)48.6% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
IFK Norrkoping Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)27.54% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.95% (-0.125 -0.13)63.05% (0.128 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Vasteras SK 47.64%
    IFK Norrkoping 28.73%
    Draw 23.63%
Vasteras SKDrawIFK Norrkoping
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.3% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.41% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 47.64%
1-1 @ 10.92%
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.91% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.63%
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.34% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 28.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Vasteras 1-2 Hacken
Monday, July 8 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Kalmar 0-4 Vasteras
Sunday, June 2 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Vasteras 1-1 Brommapojkarna
Sunday, May 26 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Sirius 0-0 Vasteras
Monday, May 20 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Vasteras 0-2 Varnamo
Wednesday, May 15 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: GAIS 2-0 Vasteras
Saturday, May 11 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Norrkoping 1-3 Djurgarden
Monday, July 8 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Sirius 5-1 Norrkoping
Saturday, June 1 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Norrkoping 0-4 Varnamo
Monday, May 27 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Brommapojkarna 2-1 Norrkoping
Sunday, May 19 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Kalmar 1-1 Norrkoping
Thursday, May 16 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Norrkoping 1-2 Hammarby
Sunday, May 12 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan


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