SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HamKam win with a probability of 54.08%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a HamKam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HamKam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HamKam | Draw | Kristiansund |
54.08% ( -0.32) | 22.16% ( -0.06) | 23.76% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 59.86% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.55% ( 0.71) | 39.45% ( -0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.21% ( 0.74) | 61.79% ( -0.74) |
| HamKam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.4% ( 0.14) | 14.6% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.3% ( 0.27) | 42.7% ( -0.27) |
| Kristiansund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% ( 0.71) | 29.9% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34% ( 0.84) | 66% ( -0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| HamKam | Draw | Kristiansund |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 54.08% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.16% | 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.07% Total : 23.76% |
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