SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for HamKam had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest HamKam win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| HamKam | Draw | Lillestrom |
35.44% ( -0.39) | 24.98% ( -0.01) | 39.58% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 57.7% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.32% ( 0.02) | 45.67% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32% ( 0.02) | 68% ( -0.01) |
| HamKam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.86% ( -0.21) | 25.14% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.15% ( -0.29) | 59.85% ( 0.3) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.07% ( 0.21) | 22.92% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.3% ( 0.31) | 56.69% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| HamKam | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.44% | 1-1 @ 11.72% 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.98% | 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 39.58% |
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