Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kristiansund win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for HamKam had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kristiansund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest HamKam win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.