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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 62.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Beitar Jerusalem had a probability of 16.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Beitar Jerusalem win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
62.14% ( 0.01) | 21.64% ( 0.08) | 16.22% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.96% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.19% ( -0.49) | 47.81% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.01% ( -0.45) | 69.99% ( 0.45) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.17% ( -0.16) | 14.83% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.87% ( -0.3) | 43.13% ( 0.31) |
| Beitar Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.49% ( -0.41) | 42.51% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.12% ( -0.35) | 78.88% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
| 1-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 62.14% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.85% Total : 21.64% | 0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.67% Total : 16.22% |
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