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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Hapoel Tel Aviv had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Beitar Jerusalem in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
34.15% ( 0.08) | 26.5% ( 0.11) | 39.35% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 52.3% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.48% ( -0.43) | 52.52% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.82% ( -0.37) | 74.18% ( 0.38) |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.81% ( -0.16) | 29.19% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.86% ( -0.2) | 65.13% ( 0.2) |
| Beitar Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.86% ( -0.3) | 26.13% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.79% ( -0.41) | 61.2% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
| 1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.15% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.3% Total : 39.34% |
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