SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
34.58% ( -0.63) | 26.6% ( 0.31) | 38.82% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 52.05% ( -1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.13% ( -1.38) | 52.86% ( 1.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.51% ( -1.19) | 74.48% ( 1.18) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% ( -1.06) | 29.09% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.98% ( -1.33) | 65.01% ( 1.33) |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.41% ( -0.47) | 26.59% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.19% ( -0.62) | 61.81% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.58% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.81% |
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