Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Hapoel Haifa had a probability of 17.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Hapoel Haifa win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.
