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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 63.83%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.69%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Hapoel Hadera win it was 1-0 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beitar Jerusalem would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Hadera | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
15.21% ( -0.23) | 20.95% ( -0.18) | 63.83% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 48.86% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.25% ( 0.32) | 46.75% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.99% ( 0.31) | 69.01% ( -0.3) |
| Hapoel Hadera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.79% ( -0.11) | 43.21% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.53% ( -0.09) | 79.47% ( 0.09) |
| Beitar Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.04% ( 0.23) | 13.96% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.55% ( 0.45) | 41.45% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Hadera | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
| 1-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.53% Total : 15.22% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 20.95% | 0-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 11.69% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.68% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 6.44% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 3.78% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 3.17% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.62% Total : 63.82% |
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