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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Hadera win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Maccabi Petah Tikva had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Hadera win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Maccabi Petah Tikva win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Hadera | Draw | Maccabi Petah Tikva |
38.13% ( 0.16) | 28.03% ( -0.07) | 33.84% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.54% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.5% ( 0.23) | 58.5% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.92% ( 0.18) | 79.08% ( -0.18) |
| Hapoel Hadera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% ( 0.21) | 29.68% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.26% ( 0.25) | 65.73% ( -0.25) |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.6% ( 0.06) | 32.4% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.09% ( 0.07) | 68.91% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Hadera | Draw | Maccabi Petah Tikva |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.13% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.83% |
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