SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 71.48%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 10.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.96%) and 3-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Hapoel Hadera win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maccabi Haifa | Draw | Hapoel Hadera |
71.48% ( -0.07) | 17.91% ( 0.15) | 10.6% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 45.25% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.68% ( -0.85) | 44.32% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.31% ( -0.83) | 66.69% ( 0.83) |
| Maccabi Haifa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.93% ( -0.25) | 11.07% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.56% ( -0.56) | 35.43% ( 0.56) |
| Hapoel Hadera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.89% ( -0.69) | 49.11% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.96% ( -0.49) | 84.03% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maccabi Haifa | Draw | Hapoel Hadera |
| 2-0 @ 13.16% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.32)3-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.57% Total : 71.47% | 1-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.64% Total : 17.91% | 0-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 10.6% |
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