Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Jerusalem win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Hapoel Haifa had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Jerusalem win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Hapoel Haifa win was 1-0 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Hapoel Haifa	Draw	Hapoel Jerusalem
32.63% ( -0.04)	27.88% ( 0)	39.48% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 47.73% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.85% (

-0.02)

58.15% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.19% (

-0.02)

78.81% (

0.02)

Hapoel Haifa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.96% (

-0.04)

33.04% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.37% (

-0.04)

69.63% (

0.04)

Hapoel Jerusalem Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.28% (

28.72% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.45% (

0.01)

64.55% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Hapoel Haifa 32.62%

Hapoel Jerusalem 39.47%

Draw 27.89%

Hapoel Haifa	Draw	Hapoel Jerusalem
1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.62%	1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.89%	0-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.71% Total : 39.47%