SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Jerusalem win with a probability of 46.35%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 25.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Hapoel Hadera win it was 0-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Jerusalem | Draw | Hapoel Hadera |
46.35% ( -0.12) | 28.29% ( 0.08) | 25.36% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 43% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.7% ( -0.22) | 62.3% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.04% ( -0.16) | 81.95% ( 0.16) |
| Hapoel Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( -0.17) | 26.99% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.66% ( -0.22) | 62.34% ( 0.22) |
| Hapoel Hadera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.9% ( -0.09) | 41.09% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.36% ( -0.08) | 77.64% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Jerusalem | Draw | Hapoel Hadera |
| 1-0 @ 14.52% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.79% Total : 46.34% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.29% | 0-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.24% Total : 25.36% |
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