SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Jerusalem win with a probability of 50.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 21.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Hapoel Hadera win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Jerusalem would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Jerusalem | Draw | Hapoel Hadera |
50.53% ( 0.06) | 27.69% ( -0.01) | 21.79% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 41.26% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.22% | 62.78% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.69% | 82.31% |
| Hapoel Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.83% ( 0.03) | 25.17% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.1% ( 0.04) | 59.89% ( -0.04) |
| Hapoel Hadera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.14% ( -0.05) | 44.86% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.18% ( -0.04) | 80.82% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Jerusalem | Draw | Hapoel Hadera |
| 1-0 @ 15.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 50.52% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.29% 2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0)Other @ 0.45% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.79% |
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