SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Jerusalem win with a probability of 42.03%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Hapoel Tel Aviv had a probability of 28.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Hapoel Tel Aviv win it was 0-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Jerusalem would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Jerusalem | Draw | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
42.03% ( -0.39) | 29.08% ( 0.29) | 28.89% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 43.17% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.81% ( -0.89) | 63.19% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.39% ( -0.65) | 82.6% ( 0.65) |
| Hapoel Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.26% ( -0.66) | 29.73% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.2% ( -0.81) | 65.79% ( 0.81) |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.43% ( -0.42) | 38.56% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.69% ( -0.4) | 75.31% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Jerusalem | Draw | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 1-0 @ 13.9% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.42% Total : 42.02% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.07% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.57% Total : 28.89% |
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