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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Petah Tikva win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Hapoel Katamon had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Petah Tikva win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Hapoel Katamon win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Katamon | Draw | Maccabi Petah Tikva |
31.98% ( -0.34) | 27.8% ( 0.31) | 40.22% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.8% ( -1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.02% ( -1.22) | 57.98% ( 1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.33% ( -0.97) | 78.67% ( 0.97) |
| Hapoel Katamon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.59% ( -0.87) | 33.41% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.96% ( -0.97) | 70.04% ( 0.97) |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% ( -0.56) | 28.22% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.08% ( -0.71) | 63.92% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Katamon | Draw | Maccabi Petah Tikva |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.97% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.8% | 0-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.78% Total : 40.21% |
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