SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Katamon win with a probability of 36.8%. A win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Katamon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Hapoel Petah Tikva win was 1-0 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Katamon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | Draw | Hapoel Katamon |
35.11% ( 0.23) | 28.09% ( -0.03) | 36.8% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 47.51% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.4% ( 0.13) | 58.59% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.84% ( 0.1) | 79.15% ( -0.1) |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.39% ( 0.21) | 31.6% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.99% ( 0.24) | 68.01% ( -0.24) |
| Hapoel Katamon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.46% ( -0.05) | 30.53% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.24% ( -0.06) | 66.76% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | Draw | Hapoel Katamon |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.89% Total : 35.11% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.08% | 0-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.79% |
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