SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Tel Aviv win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Hapoel Petah Tikva win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Tel Aviv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | Draw | Hapoel Petah Tikva |
42.19% ( -0.04) | 28.05% ( 0.02) | 29.76% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.28% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.5% ( -0.06) | 59.5% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.15% ( -0.05) | 79.85% ( 0.05) |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.15% ( -0.05) | 27.85% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.55% ( -0.06) | 63.45% ( 0.06) |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.15% ( -0.02) | 35.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.37% ( -0.02) | 72.63% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | Draw | Hapoel Petah Tikva |
| 1-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 42.19% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.05% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 29.76% |
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