SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ashdod win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Hapoel Tel Aviv had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ashdod win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ashdod would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ashdod | Draw | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
41.17% ( 0.04) | 28.02% ( 0.02) | 30.81% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 46.79% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.94% ( -0.1) | 59.06% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.48% ( -0.08) | 79.51% ( 0.08) |
| Ashdod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.8% ( -0.03) | 28.2% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.1% ( -0.04) | 63.9% ( 0.04) |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.18% ( -0.1) | 34.82% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.44% ( -0.11) | 71.56% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ashdod | Draw | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 1-0 @ 12.43% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.75% Total : 41.17% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 30.81% |
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