SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
30.46% ( -0.17) | 24.34% ( 0.13) | 45.2% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.18% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.71% ( -0.66) | 44.29% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.34% ( -0.64) | 66.66% ( 0.64) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.49% ( -0.44) | 27.51% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.98% ( -0.57) | 63.01% ( 0.56) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.26% ( -0.25) | 19.73% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.24% ( -0.41) | 51.76% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
| 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.91% Total : 30.46% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.04% Total : 45.2% |
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