SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 48.42%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Elfsborg |
48.42% ( -0.81) | 24.89% ( 0.05) | 26.69% ( 0.76) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.01% ( 0.34) | 48.99% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.93% ( 0.3) | 71.07% ( -0.3) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.74% ( -0.21) | 20.27% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.39% ( -0.33) | 52.61% ( 0.33) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.34% ( 0.79) | 32.66% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.79% ( 0.88) | 69.21% ( -0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 48.42% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.54% Total : 26.69% |
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