SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 52.09%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
52.09% ( -0) | 22.35% ( 0) | 25.55% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 61.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.47% | 38.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.17% | 60.82% |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.06% | 14.94% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.65% ( -0) | 43.34% ( 0) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72% ( 0) | 28% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.36% ( 0) | 63.64% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% 1-0 @ 7.95% 2-0 @ 7.56% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 3.88% 4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.85% 5-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 4.07% Total : 52.09% | 1-1 @ 10.12% 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.18% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.35% | 1-2 @ 6.44% 0-1 @ 5.33% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.39% 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.62% Total : 25.55% |
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