SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 53.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Always Ready had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for an Always Ready win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente Medellin | Draw | Always Ready |
53.47% ( 0.06) | 23.82% ( 0.37) | 22.7% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 52.96% ( -1.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.03% ( -2.04) | 47.96% ( 2.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.86% ( -1.9) | 70.13% ( 1.9) |
| Independiente Medellin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.13% ( -0.73) | 17.87% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.36% ( -1.27) | 48.63% ( 1.26) |
| Always Ready Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.48% ( -1.53) | 35.51% ( 1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.72% ( -1.62) | 72.28% ( 1.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente Medellin | Draw | Always Ready |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.65) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.35)3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.52% Total : 53.47% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.52)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.82% | 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.95% Total : 22.7% |
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