SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 17.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportes Tolima | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
58.14% ( -0.05) | 23.92% ( 0.01) | 17.95% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.63% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.92% ( 0.03) | 54.08% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.49% ( 0.02) | 75.5% ( -0.02) |
| Deportes Tolima Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.6% ( -0.01) | 18.4% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.44% ( -0.01) | 49.55% ( 0.01) |
| Independiente Medellin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.92% ( 0.06) | 44.08% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.81% ( 0.05) | 80.19% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportes Tolima | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
| 1-0 @ 13.73% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.37% 4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 58.13% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.66% Total : 23.91% | 0-1 @ 6.65% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 1.65% Total : 17.95% |
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