SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Cesar Vallejo had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Cesar Vallejo win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cesar Vallejo | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
35.96% ( -0) | 26.1% ( -0) | 37.94% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 53.86% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.37% | 50.63% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.46% | 72.54% ( -0) |
| Cesar Vallejo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% ( -0) | 27.17% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.43% | 62.57% ( -0) |
| Independiente Medellin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.96% ( -0) | 26.04% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.92% | 61.07% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cesar Vallejo | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
| 1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.08% 2-0 @ 6.01% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.03% Total : 35.96% | 1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 9.52% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 6.41% 1-3 @ 3.74% 0-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.94% |
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