SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ironi Kiryat Shmona win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Hapoel Jerusalem had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ironi Kiryat Shmona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Hapoel Jerusalem win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ironi Kiryat Shmona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Draw | Hapoel Jerusalem |
44.39% ( -0.2) | 26.39% ( 0.08) | 29.22% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 50.81% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.41% ( -0.27) | 53.59% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.9% ( -0.23) | 75.1% ( 0.23) |
| Ironi Kiryat Shmona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% ( -0.21) | 24.02% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.71% ( -0.31) | 58.29% ( 0.31) |
| Hapoel Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.87% ( -0.06) | 33.13% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.27% ( -0.06) | 69.73% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Draw | Hapoel Jerusalem |
| 1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.39% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 29.22% |
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