SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Hapoel Jerusalem had a probability of 21.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Hapoel Jerusalem win it was 1-0 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Jerusalem | Draw | Maccabi Haifa |
21.63% ( 0.18) | 22.77% ( 0.02) | 55.59% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.92% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.33% ( 0.12) | 44.67% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.96% ( 0.11) | 67.03% ( -0.11) |
| Hapoel Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.32% ( 0.24) | 34.68% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.59% ( 0.25) | 71.41% ( -0.25) |
| Maccabi Haifa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.08% ( -0.03) | 15.92% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.83% ( -0.05) | 45.17% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Jerusalem | Draw | Maccabi Haifa |
| 1-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.06% Total : 21.63% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.77% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.71% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.02% ( -0)0-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 55.59% |
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