Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Under-21s win with a probability of 60.27%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Israel Under-21s had a probability of 17.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.8%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Israel Under-21s win it was 1-0 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Under-21s would win this match.
