SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England Under-21s | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Czech Republic Under-21s | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Germany Under-21s | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Israel Under-21s | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England Under-21s | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Czech Republic Under-21s | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Germany Under-21s | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Israel Under-21s | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Under-21s win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Germany Under-21s had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.76%) and 2-0 (5%). The likeliest Germany Under-21s win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| England Under-21s | Draw | Germany Under-21s |
40.05% ( 1.31) | 22.61% ( -0.19) | 37.33% ( -1.13) |
| Both teams to score 66.85% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.11% ( 0.9) | 33.88% ( -0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.26% ( 1.02) | 55.73% ( -1.02) |
| England Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.35% ( 0.95) | 17.64% ( -0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.75% ( 1.63) | 48.24% ( -1.63) |
| Germany Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.16% ( -0.12) | 18.83% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.72% ( -0.2) | 50.27% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| England Under-21s | Draw | Germany Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 5% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.09)4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.12% Total : 40.05% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.61% | 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.07)3-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.7% Total : 37.33% |
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