Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for England Under-21s had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest England Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that England Under-21s would win this match.

Result
England Under-21s	Draw	Portugal Under-21s
29.93% ( 0.42)	23% ( 0.04)	47.07% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 62.64% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.71% (

0.04)

38.28% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.43% (

0.04)

60.56% (

-0.04)

England Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.13% (

0.28)

24.87% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.52% (

0.4)

59.47% (

-0.4)

Portugal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.37% (

-0.16)

16.62% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.54% (

-0.28)

46.45% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

England Under-21s 29.93%

Portugal Under-21s 47.07%

Draw 23%

England Under-21s	Draw	Portugal Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.93%	1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23%	1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.54% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.85% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.36% Total : 47.07%