SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 63.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Karpaty Lviv had a probability of 16.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Karpaty Lviv win it was 2-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Karpaty Lviv | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
16.5% ( -0.49) | 19.93% ( -0.78) | 63.57% ( 1.27) |
| Both teams to score 55.29% ( 1.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.28% ( 2.68) | 39.71% ( -2.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.93% ( 2.73) | 62.07% ( -2.73) |
| Karpaty Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.74% ( 1.04) | 37.26% ( -1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.96% ( 1.01) | 74.04% ( -1.01) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.13% ( 1.17) | 11.87% ( -1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.84% ( 2.45) | 37.16% ( -2.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Karpaty Lviv | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
| 2-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.43)2-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 16.5% | 1-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.57)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.93% | 0-2 @ 10.04% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.75)0-3 @ 7.14% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 7.05% ( 0.29)0-4 @ 3.8% ( 0.22)1-4 @ 3.75% ( 0.32)2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.24)2-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.2)0-5 @ 1.62% ( 0.16)1-5 @ 1.6% ( 0.2)Other @ 3.9% Total : 63.56% |
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