While we expect this to be a tough game with both sides looking to stay in the tie ahead of the second leg, we do believe that Dynamo Kiev will make the most of their home advantage and come away with a narrow lead. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Partizan had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Partizan win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.

Result
Dynamo Kiev	Draw	Partizan
48.97% ( -0)	24.02% ( -0)	27.01% ( 0)

Both teams to score 56.84% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.03% (

0.01)

44.97% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.68% (

0.01)

67.32% (

-0.01)

Dynamo Kiev Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.54% (

18.46% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.35% (

49.65%

Partizan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.7% (

30.3% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.53% (

0.01)

66.47% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Dynamo Kiev 48.97%

Partizan 27.01%

Draw 24.02%

Dynamo Kiev	Draw	Partizan
2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.37% 3-0 @ 4.5% 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.42% Total : 48.97%	1-1 @ 11.28% 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.02%	1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 3.99% 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.07% Total : 27.01%