Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
