SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kortrijk win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for RWD Molenbeek had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kortrijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest RWD Molenbeek win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kortrijk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kortrijk | Draw | RWD Molenbeek |
39.42% ( 0.32) | 25.41% ( 0.77) | 35.16% ( -1.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.12% ( -2.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.3% ( -3.66) | 47.7% ( 3.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.11% ( -3.47) | 69.89% ( 3.47) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.09% ( -1.46) | 23.91% ( 1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.88% ( -2.14) | 58.12% ( 2.14) |
| RWD Molenbeek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.75% ( -2.32) | 26.25% ( 2.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.64% ( -3.21) | 61.36% ( 3.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kortrijk | Draw | RWD Molenbeek |
| 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.96) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.43)3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.31)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.16)Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.42% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.54) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.91)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.38)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.71) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.33)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.36)0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.2)Other @ 3.28% Total : 35.16% |
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