SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 51.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for RWD Molenbeek had a probability of 24.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a RWD Molenbeek win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | RWD Molenbeek |
51.7% ( 0.1) | 24.26% ( 0.1) | 24.03% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 53.12% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.48% ( -0.61) | 48.51% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.36% ( -0.56) | 70.64% ( 0.56) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.25% ( -0.2) | 18.75% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.86% ( -0.33) | 50.13% ( 0.33) |
| RWD Molenbeek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.38% ( -0.51) | 34.62% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.66% ( -0.54) | 71.34% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | RWD Molenbeek |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.21% Total : 51.7% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.26% | 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.12% Total : 24.03% |
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