SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 79.71%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for RWD Molenbeek had a probability of 6.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.4%) and 1-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.39%), while for a RWD Molenbeek win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | RWD Molenbeek |
79.71% ( -0.11) | 13.45% ( 0.03) | 6.85% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 44.48% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.93% ( 0.22) | 36.08% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.82% ( 0.24) | 58.18% ( -0.24) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.88% ( 0.02) | 7.13% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.05% ( 0.06) | 25.95% ( -0.06) |
| RWD Molenbeek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.89% ( 0.39) | 52.11% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.93% ( 0.25) | 86.07% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | RWD Molenbeek |
| 2-0 @ 12.95% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.04)6-0 @ 1.75% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.73% Total : 79.7% | 1-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.59% Total : 13.45% | 0-1 @ 2.42% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.35% Total : 6.85% |
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