SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kristiansund win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Fredrikstad had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kristiansund win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Fredrikstad win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kristiansund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kristiansund | Draw | Fredrikstad |
38.01% ( 0.1) | 25.93% ( 0.09) | 36.06% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 54.45% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.11% ( -0.41) | 49.89% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.12% ( -0.36) | 71.88% ( 0.37) |
| Kristiansund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.34% ( -0.13) | 25.66% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.44% ( -0.18) | 60.56% ( 0.18) |
| Fredrikstad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( -0.3) | 26.76% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% ( -0.4) | 62.04% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kristiansund | Draw | Fredrikstad |
| 1-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 38.01% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.14% Total : 36.06% |
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