SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 37.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.81%) and 0-2 (5.46%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Kristiansund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kristiansund | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
37.16% ( -0.11) | 23.59% ( 0.03) | 39.25% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 63.04% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.17% ( -0.16) | 38.83% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.86% ( -0.17) | 61.15% ( 0.17) |
| Kristiansund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% ( -0.13) | 21.11% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.07% ( -0.2) | 53.94% ( 0.2) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.9% ( -0.03) | 20.1% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.65% ( -0.05) | 52.36% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kristiansund | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
| 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.13% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 37.16% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.58% | 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.82% 2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 39.25% |
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