Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kristiansund win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kristiansund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Kristiansund in this match.
Result | ||
Kristiansund | Draw | Sandefjord |
45.72% ( -1.43) | 22.92% ( -0.03) | 31.36% ( 1.46) |
Both teams to score 63.77% ( 1.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.85% ( 0.96) | 37.15% ( -0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.65% ( 1.03) | 59.35% ( -1.02) |
Kristiansund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.3% ( -0.17) | 16.7% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.42% ( -0.3) | 46.58% ( 0.31) |
Sandefjord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.55% ( 1.36) | 23.45% ( -1.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.54% ( 1.93) | 57.46% ( -1.93) |
Score Analysis |
Kristiansund | Draw | Sandefjord |
2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.37) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.12) Other @ 4.38% Total : 45.72% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.13) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.11) Other @ 3% Total : 31.36% |
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