Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kristiansund win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kristiansund win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kristiansund would win this match.