SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Sarpsborg 08 | 20 | -7 | 19 |
| 15 | Jerv | 20 | -32 | 14 |
| 16 | Kristiansund | 20 | -21 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Aalesund | 20 | -9 | 22 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 20 | -11 | 22 |
| 14 | Sarpsborg 08 | 20 | -7 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kristiansund win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kristiansund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kristiansund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kristiansund | Draw | Sandefjord |
39.99% ( 0.48) | 24.07% ( 0.09) | 35.94% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 61.07% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.67% ( -0.49) | 41.33% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.27% ( -0.5) | 63.73% ( 0.49) |
| Kristiansund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( 0.02) | 20.83% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.48% ( 0.03) | 53.52% ( -0.03) |
| Sandefjord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.14% ( -0.52) | 22.86% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.4% ( -0.77) | 56.59% ( 0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kristiansund | Draw | Sandefjord |
| 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.81% Total : 39.99% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.06% | 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.94% |
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