Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sadovskiy (56'), Maliy (84')
Astanov (6'), Sadovskiy (58'), Makarenko (58'), Maliy (63'),
Tagybergen (77')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Legia Warsaw and Ordabasy.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 78.16%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Ordabasy had a probability of 7.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.58%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.6%), while for a Ordabasy win it was 0-1 (2.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
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