Legia
1 - 4
Napoli

Madatov (10')
Jedrzejczyk (68'), Miszta (73'), Pesqueira (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Zielinski (51' pen.), Mertens (75' pen.), Lozano (79'), Ounas (90')
Elmas (54')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Legia Warsaw and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.87%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Legia Warsaw	Draw	Napoli
27.37%	21.95%	50.68%

Both teams to score 64.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.03%

34.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.04%

56.96%

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.16%

24.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.57%

59.43%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.86%

14.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.2%

41.8%

Score Analysis

Legia Warsaw 27.37%

Napoli 50.68%

Draw 21.95%

Legia Warsaw	Draw	Napoli
2-1 @ 6.66% 1-0 @ 4.89% 2-0 @ 3.41% 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 1.58% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.58% Total : 27.37%	1-1 @ 9.57% 2-2 @ 6.52% 0-0 @ 3.51% 3-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.95%	1-2 @ 9.36% 0-1 @ 6.87% 0-2 @ 6.72% 1-3 @ 6.1% 0-3 @ 4.38% 2-3 @ 4.25% 1-4 @ 2.99% 0-4 @ 2.14% 2-4 @ 2.08% 1-5 @ 1.17% 3-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.66% Total : 50.68%