SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City Women win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Everton Women had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Everton Women win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City Women | Draw | Everton Women |
49.8% ( 0.07) | 23% ( 0.04) | 27.2% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 60.54% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.84% ( -0.28) | 40.16% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.47% ( -0.29) | 62.53% ( 0.29) |
| Leicester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.67% ( -0.08) | 16.33% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.08% ( -0.14) | 45.92% ( 0.14) |
| Everton Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.35% ( -0.22) | 27.65% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.8% ( -0.29) | 63.2% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City Women | Draw | Everton Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 49.8% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.2% |
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