SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Everton Women had a probability of 18.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.7%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Everton Women win it was 2-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
18.98% ( -0.08) | 21.31% ( -0.07) | 59.7% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 55.53% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.18% ( 0.18) | 41.81% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.78% ( 0.18) | 64.22% ( -0.17) |
| Everton Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.29% ( 0.02) | 35.7% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.52% ( 0.02) | 72.48% ( -0.02) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.37% ( 0.1) | 13.63% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.2% ( 0.2) | 40.8% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
| 2-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.77% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 18.98% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.31% | 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 9.66% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.61% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 6.42% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.29% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 3.2% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 59.7% |
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