Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a NK Lokomotiva win it was 2-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
-0.08) 
0.05) 
