SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Gorica win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Lokomotiva would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gorica | Draw | NK Lokomotiva |
31.56% ( -0.11) | 26.32% ( 0.08) | 42.11% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.12% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.59% ( -0.36) | 52.4% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.91% ( -0.31) | 74.08% ( 0.3) |
| Gorica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% ( -0.26) | 30.84% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.88% ( -0.31) | 67.12% ( 0.3) |
| NK Lokomotiva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.37% ( -0.14) | 24.63% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.86% ( -0.2) | 59.14% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gorica | Draw | NK Lokomotiva |
| 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.56% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.11% |
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